SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LLWLL
  • Mavididi 46'
FT1 – 0
Lincoln City
LLDWL
Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 19:45
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.0
Watford · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.17
5.2
Lincoln City · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair10.59
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair3.02
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair4.55
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair4.67
WON
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair7.15
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.87
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.15
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.92
bet365
2.03
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Watford 0
1.67
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Lincoln City 0
2.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.11
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
WatfordLincoln City
5.0
Corners for · per game
4.5
5.2
Corners against · per game
4.9
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2056%
L2050%
Over 4.5 corners
L2043%
L2036%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2045%
L2043%
Over 10.5 total
L2034%
L2033%
Match corners W%
L2039%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
7%
33%
6 to 8
32%
21%
9 to 11
32%
23%
12 to 14
20%
15%
Over 14
10%
Watford · 39 matchesLincoln City · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.0 · WATFORD
Watford · home
+1.0
net per game
For
5.6
Against
4.5
Lincoln City · away
-1.1
net per game
For
4.2
Against
5.3
Market

Watford Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.41
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
3.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Lincoln City Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.69
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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