CHAMPIONSHIP
Bristol City
WWWLL
- Ballard 31'
FT1 – 0
Watford
DLLWL
Friday, 18 September 2026 · 20:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.1
Bristol City · for
this season, per game
8.8
Total corners · past games added together
3.6
Watford · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price15.00
LOST6 to 8
Price4.00
WON9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price3.40
LOSTOver 14
Price6.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 10.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.82
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 18 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 10.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
9.5––1.622.27
101.802.501.782.04
10.51.821.972.011.82
112.251.902.281.63
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 18 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (10.5)
OverUnder
81.285.50
91.503.50
101.802.50
123.001.57
134.001.36
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 18 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Bristol City -22.20
Tie after the handicap8.50
Watford +12.05
bet365as of 20:00 on 18 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Bristol City 14 matches; Watford 14 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Bristol City 111, Watford 109)
Bristol City corners for 5.14 a game, Watford 3.64, together 8.79 against a 10.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Bristol City 5.89 and Watford 4.68, together 10.57 against a 10.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.7 below the 10.5 line; the blend is 0.1 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Bristol City 111 matches, Watford 109 matches): over 10.5: Bristol City 40%, Watford 43%.
Corners for at the venues: Bristol City at home 5.57 (7 matches), Watford away 2.86 (7 matches), together 8.43.
bet365 · line 10.5 (main line)Over 1.82 · Under 1.97
added together 8.79 is 1.7 below; blend 10.57 is 0.1 above
Bristol City 40%, Watford 43% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.62 · Under 2.27
added together 8.79 is 0.7 below; blend 10.57 is 1.1 above
Bristol City 51%, Watford 55% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.78 · Under 2.04
added together 8.79 is 1.2 below; blend 10.57 is 0.6 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.01 · Under 1.82
added together 8.79 is 1.7 below; blend 10.57 is 0.1 above
Bristol City 40%, Watford 43% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.28 · Under 1.63
added together 8.79 is 2.2 below; blend 10.57 is 0.4 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 18 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Bristol CityWatford
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%Over 3.5 cornersL2061%
L2053%Over 4.5 cornersL2050%
L2038%Over 5.5 cornersL2036%
L2051%Over 9.5 totalL2055%
L2040%Over 10.5 totalL2043%
L2049%Match corners W%L2037%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%Under 67%
17%6 to 827%
37%9 to 1124%
22%12 to 1429%
15%Over 1412%
Bristol City · 41 matchesWatford · 41 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.1 · BRISTOL CITY
Bristol City · home
+1.1
net per game
Watford · away
-1.5
net per game
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