CHAMPIONSHIP
Bristol City
WWWLL
- Ballard 31'
FT1 – 0
Watford
DLLWL
Friday, 18 September 2026 · 20:00
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won3.25
Estimate
1.85
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
1.70
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
−8.1%
Shortened
Draw
Lost3.80
Estimate
3.60
bet365
3.67
Pinnacle
3.90
bet365
4.01
Pinnacle
+8.3%
Drifted
Away
Lost2.36
Estimate
4.00
bet365
4.10
Pinnacle
4.50
bet365
4.63
Pinnacle
+12.5%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 27 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Bristol City
wonBY 1
Price—
Estimate5.67
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate11.11
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate30.28
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate80.84
—Watford
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate4.72
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate7.77
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate17.73
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate37.44
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.75
Estimate5.12
▼ 7.2%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price13.00
Estimate14.52
▼ 10.5%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.74
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.36
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.46
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.36
Estimate
—
bet365
1.39
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost1.74
Estimate
—
bet365
3.09
Pinnacle
—
bet365
3.53
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 1–0 · HT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won4.00
Estimate
2.40
bet365
2.43
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
2.36
Pinnacle
−6.2%
Shortened
Draw
Lost2.36
Estimate
2.25
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
2.37
bet365
2.43
Pinnacle
+5.3%
Drifted
Away
Lost3.15
Estimate
4.33
bet365
4.64
Pinnacle
4.75
bet365
4.88
Pinnacle
+9.7%
Drifted
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 27 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:26Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceMiss
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