CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
DLWLL
- Clark 40'
FT1 – 2
Birmingham City
LWDDL
- Vicente 42'
- Paik 63'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 12:30
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Derby CountyBirmingham City
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Derby County 15 matches; Birmingham City 13 matches
2.27Cards for per game2.15
1.80Cards against per game1.85
Hit rates · home v away
L2025%Cards match bet W%L2036%
L2078%Both teams cardedL2076%
L2078%Over 1.5 team cardsL2052%
L2060%Over 3.5 total cardsL2038%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2095%Over 0.5 team cardsL2085%
L2065%Over 1.5 team cardsL2050%
L2035%Over 2.5 team cardsL2025%
L2015%Over 3.5 team cardsL2015%
Team cards by line · overall
L2098%Over 0.5 team cardsL2083%
L2078%Over 1.5 team cardsL2052%
L2043%Over 2.5 team cardsL2029%
L2015%Over 3.5 team cardsL2014%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 24 matches
Match average
4.17 CARDS / GAME
4.00 yellows a game · 24 matches, last 12 months
J. Busby
24
Apps
96
Yellows
4.00
Yellows / game
4
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game24 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds4.17
Yellows per game24 matches in the last 12 months4.00
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game7 matches22.43
Penalties awarded3 in 7 matches · 0.43 a game3
Team cards
Home cards24 matches, last 12 months2.00 avg
Away cards24 matches, last 12 months2.17 avg
Both teams19/2479%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.524/24 matches
Ref71%+2.517/24 matches
Ref54%+3.513/24 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: J. Busby, 24 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Derby County 15 matches; Birmingham City 13 matches
J. Busby averages 4.17 cards a game over 24 matches in the last 12 months, 0.7 above a 3.5 line.
In those matches J. Busby has shown the home side 2.00 cards a game and the away side 2.17 (24 matches).
Derby County cards for 2.27 a game, Birmingham City 2.15, together 4.42 against a 3.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Derby County 2.06 and Birmingham City 1.98, together 4.03 against a 3.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.9 above the 3.5 line; the blend is 0.5 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Derby County at home 1.88 (8 matches), Birmingham City away 2.50 (6 matches), together 4.38.
bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.72 · Under 2.00
referee 4.17 is 0.7 above; teams added together 4.42 is 0.9 above; blend 4.03 is 0.5 above
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.35 · Under 3.01
referee 4.17 is 1.2 above; teams added together 4.42 is 1.4 above; blend 4.03 is 1.0 above
Pinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.65 · Under 2.17
referee 4.17 is 0.7 above; teams added together 4.42 is 0.9 above; blend 4.03 is 0.5 above
Pinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 2.01 · Under 1.79
referee 4.17 is 0.2 above; teams added together 4.42 is 0.4 above; blend 4.03 is level with
Pinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.43 · Under 1.53
referee 4.17 is 0.3 below; teams added together 4.42 is 0.1 below; blend 4.03 is 0.5 below
Pinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 5Over 3.20 · Under 1.31
referee 4.17 is 0.8 below; teams added together 4.42 is 0.6 below; blend 4.03 is 1.0 below
Pinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source50%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source49%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source48%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average50%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 4.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.43
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Derby County 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.75
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Birmingham City 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.05
bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Derby County (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source65%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source78%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source39%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average61%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Birmingham City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source50%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source52%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average43%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.22
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
4.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
3––1.353.01
3.51.722.001.652.17
4––2.011.79
4.52.101.662.431.53
5––3.201.31
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Derby County -0.5–2.38
Derby County 01.751.88
Derby County +0.5–1.52
Birmingham City -0.5–2.37
Birmingham City 02.051.86
Birmingham City +0.5–1.52
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 12:30 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 12:30 on 12 Septolder price
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