CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
DLWLL
- Clark 40'
FT1 – 2
Birmingham City
LWDDL
- Vicente 42'
- Paik 63'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 12:30
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost2.30
Estimate
3.50
bet365
3.81
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
3.81
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Lost3.70
Estimate
3.30
bet365
3.31
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.31
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Won3.45
Estimate
2.10
bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 16 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Derby County
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate4.55
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate7.56
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate17.51
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate38.02
—Birmingham City
wonBY 1
Price—
Estimate5.79
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate12.07
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate35.33
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate103.86
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.50
Estimate5.19
▼ 13.4%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price8.50
Estimate12.71
▼ 33.1%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Lost1.42
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.38
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Won1.78
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost1.68
Estimate
—
bet365
2.73
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.73
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Won2.50
Estimate
—
bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 1–2 · HT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost3.10
Estimate
4.00
bet365
4.34
Pinnacle
4.00
bet365
4.34
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won2.30
Estimate
2.10
bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost4.30
Estimate
2.75
bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 16 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
12:57Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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