SANSTARI
CARABAO CUP
Chelsea
LWWWL
  • Palmer (pen) 53'
  • Palmer 55'
  • Neto 60'
  • Welbeck 65'
  • Barco 80'
  • Welbeck 90+4'
FT6 – 3
Leeds United
LWWDD
  • Muharemović 23'
  • Aaronson 48'
  • Calvert-Lewin 75'
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · 20:15 · Stamford Bridge
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
ChelseaLeeds United
2.6
Team cards · per game
1.9
4.8
Total match cards · per game
4.1
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Chelsea 2 matches, small sample; Leeds United 2 matches, small sample
0.50Cards for per game1.50
0.50Cards against per game2.50
Hit rates · home v away
L2028%
Cards match bet W%
L2044%
L2083%
Both teams carded
L2069%
L2070%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2070%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2058%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2087%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2085%
L2065%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2060%
L2052%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2045%
L2017%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2020%
Team cards by line · overall
L2091%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2086%
L2070%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2051%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2033%
L2026%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2017%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 26 matches
Match average
3.88 CARDS / GAME
3.85 yellows a game · 26 matches, last 12 months
J. Gillett
Carabao Cup · 26 matches in the last 12 months
26
Apps
100
Yellows
3.85
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game26 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds3.88
Yellows per game26 matches in the last 12 months3.85

Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.

Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game1 match, small sample · weight lightly16.00
Penalties awarded1 in 1 match, small sample · 1.00 a game · weight lightly1
Team cards
Home cards26 matches, last 12 months1.96 avg
Away cards26 matches, last 12 months1.92 avg
Both teams22/2685%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref88%+1.523/26 matches
Ref73%+2.519/26 matches
Ref54%+3.514/26 matches
Line check

Line vs referee and teams

Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.

  • Referee: J. Gillett, 26 matches in the last 12 months
  • Teams, matches played this season: Chelsea 2 matches, small sample; Leeds United 2 matches, small sample

J. Gillett averages 3.88 cards a game over 26 matches in the last 12 months, 0.4 above a 3.5 line.

In those matches J. Gillett has shown the home side 1.96 cards a game and the away side 1.92 (26 matches).

Chelsea cards for 0.50 a game, Leeds United 1.50, together 2.00 against a 3.5 line.

Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Chelsea 1.50 and Leeds United 1.00, together 2.50 against a 3.5 line.

The added-together figure is 1.5 below the 3.5 line; the blend is 1.0 below it.

Cards for at the venues: Chelsea at home 0.50 (2 matches, small sample), Leeds United away 1.50 (2 matches, small sample), together 2.00.

bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.61 · Under 2.20
referee 3.88 is 0.4 above; teams added together 2.00 is 1.5 below; blend 2.50 is 1.0 below
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 2.5Over 1.30 · Under 3.29
referee 3.88 is 1.4 above; teams added together 2.00 is 0.5 below; blend 2.50 is level with
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.37 · Under 2.89
referee 3.88 is 0.9 above; teams added together 2.00 is 1.0 below; blend 2.50 is 0.5 below
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.66 · Under 2.15
referee 3.88 is 0.4 above; teams added together 2.00 is 1.5 below; blend 2.50 is 1.0 below
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 2.02 · Under 1.79
referee 3.88 is 0.1 below; teams added together 2.00 is 2.0 below; blend 2.50 is 1.5 below
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.43 · Under 1.53
referee 3.88 is 0.6 below; teams added together 2.00 is 2.5 below; blend 2.50 is 2.0 below
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 5Over 3.32 · Under 1.29
referee 3.88 is 1.1 below; teams added together 2.00 is 3.0 below; blend 2.50 is 2.5 below
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Averages

Cards · past-game averages

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 6–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source65%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source64%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source65%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average62%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.43
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Chelsea 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.05
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Leeds United 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.75
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Chelsea (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source65%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source70%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source41%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average59%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Leeds United (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source60%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source24%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average46%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.75
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Total cards lines

Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
2.5––1.303.29
3––1.372.89
3.51.612.201.662.15
4––2.021.79
4.52.201.612.431.53
5––3.321.29

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.

bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price

Asian Handicap Cards

Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Chelsea -0.5–2.71
Chelsea 02.052.33
Chelsea +0.51.971.76
Chelsea +1–1.40
Leeds United -1–2.72
Leeds United -0.51.822.00
Leeds United 01.751.54
Leeds United +0.5–1.40

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.

bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price