CARABAO CUP
Chelsea
LWWWL
- Palmer (pen) 53'
- Palmer 55'
- Neto 60'
- Welbeck 65'
- Barco 80'
- Welbeck 90+4'
FT6 – 3
Leeds United
LWWDD
- Muharemović 23'
- Aaronson 48'
- Calvert-Lewin 75'
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · 20:15 · Stamford Bridge
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 6–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.0
Chelsea · for
this season, per game
9.5
Total corners · past games added together
3.5
Leeds United · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price10.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.25
WON9 to 11
Price2.60
LOST12 to 14
Price4.33
LOSTOver 14
Price9.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 6–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.56
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 6–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.802.621.612.28
9.51.802.001.831.96
102.251.902.041.75
10.5––2.271.60
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.256.00
81.443.75
91.802.62
113.001.57
124.001.36
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Chelsea -32.20
Tie after the handicap8.00
Leeds United +31.90
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Chelsea 2 matches, small sample; Leeds United 2 matches, small sample
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Chelsea not on file, Leeds United not on file)
Chelsea corners for 6.00 a game, Leeds United 3.50, together 9.50 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Chelsea 4.50 and Leeds United 3.75, together 8.25 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is level with the 9.5 line; the blend is 1.3 below it.
No hit rate is on file for a 9.5 line.
Corners for at the venues: Chelsea at home 6.00 (2 matches, small sample), Leeds United away 3.50 (2 matches, small sample), together 9.50.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.80 · Under 2.00
added together 9.50 is level with; blend 8.25 is 1.3 below
hit rate not on file
bet365as of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.61 · Under 2.28
added together 9.50 is 0.5 above; blend 8.25 is 0.8 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.83 · Under 1.96
added together 9.50 is level with; blend 8.25 is 1.3 below
hit rate not on file
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.04 · Under 1.75
added together 9.50 is 0.5 below; blend 8.25 is 1.8 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.27 · Under 1.60
added together 9.50 is 1.0 below; blend 8.25 is 2.3 below
hit rate not on file
Pinnacleas of 20:10 on 9 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ChelseaLeeds United
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2077%Over 3.5 cornersL2069%
L2053%Over 4.5 cornersL2047%
L2043%Over 5.5 cornersL2028%
L2062%Over 9.5 totalL2058%
L2047%Over 10.5 totalL2044%
L2053%Match corners W%L2039%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%Under 614%
23%6 to 817%
36%9 to 1142%
19%12 to 1414%
11%Over 1414%
Chelsea · 47 matchesLeeds United · 36 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
NO DATA
Chelsea · home
—
net per game
Leeds United · away
—
net per game
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