SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
RB Leipzig
WLLWW
Kick-off20:00
Manchester City
LWWLL
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 20:00 · Red Bull Arena
U GLS2.62O GLS1.50BTTS NO2.37BTTS YES1.53BET WIN4.50BVB WIN1.66DRAW4.50O GLS1.36U GLS3.20BTTS YES1.50BTTS NO2.50FEN WIN6.00DRAW5.25LIV WIN1.45U GLS3.75O GLS1.28BTTS NO2.20BTTS YES1.61RMA WIN1.20DRAW7.50U GLS2.62O GLS1.50BTTS NO2.37BTTS YES1.53BET WIN4.50BVB WIN1.66DRAW4.50O GLS1.36U GLS3.20BTTS YES1.50BTTS NO2.50FEN WIN6.00DRAW5.25LIV WIN1.45U GLS3.75O GLS1.28BTTS NO2.20BTTS YES1.61RMA WIN1.20DRAW7.50
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
RB LeipzigManchester City
1.5
Team cards · per game
1.9
3.0
Total match cards · per game
4.0
Hit rates · home v away
L2045%
Cards match bet W%
L2045%
L2058%
Both teams carded
L2069%
L2029%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2035%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2057%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2081%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2091%
L2019%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2070%
L2013%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2043%
L2013%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2022%
Team cards by line · overall
L2077%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2082%
L2029%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2026%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2035%
L2010%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2014%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 26 matches
Match average
3.15 YELLOWS / GAME
M. Guida
Champions League · 26 matches in the last 12 months
26
Apps
82
Yellows
3.15
Yellows / game
3
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.85 avg
Away cards1.42 avg
Both teams17/2665%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref81%+1.521/26 matches
Ref69%+2.518/26 matches
Ref35%+3.59/26 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 46%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 46%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source53%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source46%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source49%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source35%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model46%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Against Tissue
2.20
Tissue
2.18
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-1.9%
Against Tissue
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
1.85
Tissue
1.84
Betfair
1.48
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-7.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 2.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.70
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 2.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.13
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
RB Leipzig 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.49
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Manchester City 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
RB Leipzig (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source19%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source29%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source11%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model20%MasterP(over 1.5)
Manchester City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source70%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model52%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.58
Tissue
1.57
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
-2.0%
Against Tissue
No
Against Tissue
2.74
Tissue
2.74
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
-6.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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