SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Fenerbahçe
LWDLL
Kick-off17:45
Liverpool
WWWWL
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 17:45
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
FenerbahçeLiverpool
2.6
Team cards · per game
1.6
5.3
Total match cards · per game
3.8
Hit rates · home v away
L2035%
Cards match bet W%
L2057%
L2073%
Both teams carded
L2065%
L2070%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2065%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2050%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2086%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2074%
L2071%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2052%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2032%
L2029%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2011%
Team cards by line · overall
L2085%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2070%
L2070%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2057%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2028%
L2025%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2015%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 25 matches
Match average
3.36 YELLOWS / GAME
C. Turpin
Champions League · 25 matches in the last 12 months
25
Apps
84
Yellows
3.36
Yellows / game
3
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.72 avg
Away cards1.76 avg
Both teams20/2580%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.525/25 matches
Ref72%+2.518/25 matches
Ref40%+3.510/25 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 53%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 53%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source57%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source40%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model53%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.0% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Against Tissue
1.89
Tissue
1.88
Betfair
1.63
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-9.8%
Against Tissue
Under 3.5
No Edge To Take
2.14
Tissue
2.12
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+1.0%
Below Bar
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Fenerbahçe 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Liverpool 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.90
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Fenerbahçe (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source71%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source70%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source35%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model59%MasterP(over 1.5)
Liverpool (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source53%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source50%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source25%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model43%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.45
Tissue
1.45
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
-7.8%
Against Tissue
No
Value Edge
3.25
Tissue
3.25
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
+7.9%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.