SBI
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Porto
WLLWW
Kick-off20:00
Napoli
LWDWL
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estádio Do Dragão
U GLS2.62O GLS1.50BTTS NO2.37BTTS YES1.53BET WIN4.50BVB WIN1.66DRAW4.50O GLS1.36U GLS3.20BTTS YES1.50BTTS NO2.50FEN WIN6.00DRAW5.25LIV WIN1.45U GLS3.75O GLS1.28BTTS NO2.20BTTS YES1.61RMA WIN1.20DRAW7.50U GLS2.62O GLS1.50BTTS NO2.37BTTS YES1.53BET WIN4.50BVB WIN1.66DRAW4.50O GLS1.36U GLS3.20BTTS YES1.50BTTS NO2.50FEN WIN6.00DRAW5.25LIV WIN1.45U GLS3.75O GLS1.28BTTS NO2.20BTTS YES1.61RMA WIN1.20DRAW7.50
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
PortoNapoli
2.0
Team cards · per game
1.4
4.9
Total match cards · per game
3.5
Hit rates · home v away
L2046%
Cards match bet W%
L2049%
L2071%
Both teams carded
L2056%
L2051%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2049%
L2063%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2041%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2073%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2075%
L2041%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2060%
L2027%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2025%
L209%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2010%
Team cards by line · overall
L2078%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2069%
L2051%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2049%
L2037%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2015%
L2022%
Over 3.5 team cards
L205%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 43 matches
Match average
3.53 YELLOWS / GAME
M. Oliver
Champions League · 43 matches in the last 12 months
43
Apps
152
Yellows
3.53
Yellows / game
4
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.51 avg
Away cards2.12 avg
Both teams34/4379%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref88%+1.538/43 matches
Ref72%+2.531/43 matches
Ref53%+3.523/43 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 53%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 53%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source53%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source52%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source53%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source53%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model53%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Against Tissue
1.90
Tissue
1.89
Betfair
1.79
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-7.0%
Against Tissue
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.12
Tissue
2.12
Betfair
2.04
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-2.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.72
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.43
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Porto 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.78
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Napoli 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.39
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Porto (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source41%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source51%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model39%MasterP(over 1.5)
Napoli (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source60%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source49%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source24%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model44%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.58
Tissue
1.57
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
-13.1%
Against Tissue
No
Value Edge
2.74
Tissue
2.74
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
+21.3%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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