SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Sturm Graz
LWWDD
Kick-off20:00
Celje
WDLLD
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00
U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Sturm GrazCelje
2.4
Team cards · per game
2.8
4.8
Total match cards · per game
5.4
Hit rates · home v away
L2040%
Cards match bet W%
L2036%
L2079%
Both teams carded
L2095%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2082%
L2066%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2091%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2086%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2090%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2080%
L2038%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2030%
L2010%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2010%
Team cards by line · overall
L2093%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2082%
L2047%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2045%
L2017%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2023%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 6 matches · provisional
Match average
5.33 YELLOWS / GAME
Small sample — weight lightly.
G. Kruashvili
Europa League · 6 matches in the last 12 months · provisional
6
Apps
32
Yellows
5.33
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.67 avg
Away cards2.83 avg
Both teams5/683%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.56/6 matches
Ref83%+2.55/6 matches
Ref83%+3.55/6 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 78%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 78%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source75%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source79%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source73%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source83%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model78%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.30
Tissue
1.29
Betfair
1.64
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+31.7%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
4.50
Tissue
4.50
Betfair
2.18
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-52.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Sturm Graz 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.23
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Celje 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Sturm Graz (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source76%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source76%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source55%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model69%MasterP(over 1.5)
Celje (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source80%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source82%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source23%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model62%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.15
Tissue
1.15
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
+14.3%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
7.80
Tissue
7.80
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
-53.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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