SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Sturm Graz
LWWDD
Kick-off20:00
Celje
WDLLD
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00
U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.0
Sturm Graz · for
at home, per game
10.4
Total corners · projected
μ 10.40
4.4
Celje · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair3.23(31%)▼ 18.8%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
No Edge To Take
1.41
Tissue
1.40
Betfair
1.59
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 8.5
No Edge To Take
3.50
Tissue
3.45
Betfair
2.32
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.70
Tissue
1.69
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
+13.3%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
2.46
Tissue
2.44
Betfair
1.81
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
-19.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Sturm GrazCelje
5.1
Corners for · per game
4.2
4.6
Corners against · per game
5.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2064%
Over 3.5 corners
L2050%
L2052%
Over 4.5 corners
L2033%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2026%
L2049%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2037%
Over 10.5 total
L2037%
L2055%
Match corners W%
L2036%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
3%
Under 6
14%
26%
6 to 8
36%
40%
9 to 11
23%
26%
12 to 14
23%
5%
Over 14
5%
Sturm Graz · 58 matchesCelje · 22 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · STURM GRAZ
Sturm Graz · home
+0.7
net per game
For
5.2
Against
4.5
Celje · away
-2.9
net per game
For
2.7
Against
5.5
Market

Sturm Graz Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.3% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
No Edge To Take
1.81
Tissue
1.80
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+2.3%
Below Bar
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.26
Tissue
2.24
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-13.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Celje Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.57
Tissue
1.56
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+20.4%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.80
Tissue
2.78
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-32.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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