SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Benfica
WWWWW
Kick-off20:00
Lech Poznań
LWDWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
U GLS2.37O GLS1.57BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57LYO WIN4.75DRAW4.00RSO WIN1.70O GLS1.61U GLS2.30BTTS YES1.53BTTS NO2.37RBS WIN3.70DRAW3.75ADL WIN1.95O GLS1.80U GLS2.00BTTS NO2.05BTTS YES1.70DRAW3.60LEV WIN1.95U GLS2.37O GLS1.57BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57LYO WIN4.75DRAW4.00RSO WIN1.70O GLS1.61U GLS2.30BTTS YES1.53BTTS NO2.37RBS WIN3.70DRAW3.75ADL WIN1.95O GLS1.80U GLS2.00BTTS NO2.05BTTS YES1.70DRAW3.60LEV WIN1.95
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
BenficaLech Poznań
2.3
Team cards · per game
1.6
5.3
Total match cards · per game
3.8
Hit rates · home v away
L2058%
Cards match bet W%
L2057%
L2074%
Both teams carded
L2079%
L2063%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2071%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2052%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2079%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2063%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2075%
L2026%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2030%
L2016%
Over 3.5 team cards
L205%
Team cards by line · overall
L2076%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2086%
L2063%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2037%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2019%
L2021%
Over 3.5 team cards
L205%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 5 matches · provisional
Match average
6.00 YELLOWS / GAME
Small sample — weight lightly.
M. Matoša
Europa League · 5 matches in the last 12 months · provisional
5
Apps
30
Yellows
6.00
Yellows / game
0
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards3.60 avg
Away cards2.40 avg
Both teams4/580%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.55/5 matches
Ref80%+2.54/5 matches
Ref80%+3.54/5 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 68%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 68%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source67%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source62%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source80%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model68%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.49
Tissue
1.48
At exch margin
1.98
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+27.1%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.10
Tissue
3.10
At exch margin
1.80
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-39.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Benfica 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.48
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Lech Poznań 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Benfica (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source63%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source63%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source30%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model52%MasterP(over 1.5)
Lech Poznań (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source75%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source50%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model50%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.31
Tissue
1.30
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
+7.1%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
4.30
Tissue
4.30
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
-28.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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