SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Benfica
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Kick-off20:00
Lech Poznań
LWDWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.8
Benfica · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.54
4.7
Lech Poznań · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.31(43%)▲ 13.6%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
No Edge To Take
1.24
Tissue
1.23
At exch margin
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 8.5
No Edge To Take
5.40
Tissue
5.40
At exch margin
2.26
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
No Edge To Take
1.40
Tissue
1.40
At exch margin
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 9.5
No Edge To Take
3.55
Tissue
3.50
At exch margin
1.99
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BenficaLech Poznań
6.9
Corners for · per game
5.5
3.2
Corners against · per game
4.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2084%
Over 3.5 corners
L2083%
L2073%
Over 4.5 corners
L2065%
L2061%
Over 5.5 corners
L2041%
L2054%
Over 9.5 total
L2053%
L2045%
Over 10.5 total
L2040%
L2082%
Match corners W%
L2067%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
5%
18%
6 to 8
26%
47%
9 to 11
43%
18%
12 to 14
12%
11%
Over 14
14%
Benfica · 38 matchesLech Poznań · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+4.7 · BENFICA
Benfica · home
+4.7
net per game
For
7.6
Against
2.9
Lech Poznań · away
+0.5
net per game
For
5.1
Against
4.7
Market

Benfica Corners Over / Under 6.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue
1.93
Tissue
1.92
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-2.7%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Against Tissue
2.08
Tissue
2.08
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-9.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Lech Poznań Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.44
Tissue
1.43
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+57.1%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.35
Tissue
3.30
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-50.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.