EUROPA LEAGUE
Benfica
WWWWW
Kick-off20:00
Lech Poznań
LWDWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
O GLS1.57U GLS2.37BTTS YES1.57BTTS NO2.25DRAW4.00LYO WIN4.75RSO WIN1.70U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50HAP WIN2.00O GLS1.57U GLS2.37BTTS YES1.57BTTS NO2.25DRAW4.00LYO WIN4.75RSO WIN1.70U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50HAP WIN2.00
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.8
Benfica · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
4.7
Lech Poznań · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.31(43%)▲ 13.6%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
No Edge To Take1.24
Tissue
1.23
At exch margin
1.53
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 8.5
No Edge To Take5.40
Tissue
5.40
At exch margin
2.26
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
No Edge To Take1.40
Tissue
1.40
At exch margin
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 9.5
No Edge To Take3.55
Tissue
3.50
At exch margin
1.99
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BenficaLech Poznań
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2084%Over 3.5 cornersL2083%
L2073%Over 4.5 cornersL2065%
L2061%Over 5.5 cornersL2041%
L2054%Over 9.5 totalL2053%
L2045%Over 10.5 totalL2040%
L2082%Match corners W%L2067%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%Under 65%
18%6 to 826%
47%9 to 1143%
18%12 to 1412%
11%Over 1414%
Benfica · 38 matchesLech Poznań · 42 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+4.7 · BENFICA
Benfica · home
+4.7
net per game
Lech Poznań · away
+0.5
net per game
Market
Benfica Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue1.93
Tissue
1.92
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-2.7%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Against Tissue2.08
Tissue
2.08
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-9.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Lech Poznań Corners Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge1.44
Tissue
1.43
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+57.1%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue3.35
Tissue
3.30
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-50.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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