SBI
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
Monaco
DWDWL
  • Brunner 45+2'
  • Camara 83'
  • Fati 90+1'
FT3 – 0
SC Freiburg
WDWWL
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 · Stade Louis II.
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.3
Monaco · for
at home, per game
9.9
Total corners · projected
μ 9.86
4.6
SC Freiburg · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price7.00
Fair10.57
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.75
Fair2.82
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair3.02
LOST
12 to 14
Price5.50
Fair5.61
LOST
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair24.42
WON
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.54
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
2.88
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.91
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.12
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.61
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Monaco 0
1.69
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
SC Freiburg 0
2.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
MonacoSC Freiburg
5.0
Corners for · per game
4.3
4.3
Corners against · per game
4.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2070%
Over 3.5 corners
L2063%
L2055%
Over 4.5 corners
L2048%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2029%
L2042%
Over 9.5 total
L2034%
L2030%
Over 10.5 total
L2022%
L2051%
Match corners W%
L2044%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
3%
Under 6
14%
38%
6 to 8
35%
35%
9 to 11
33%
22%
12 to 14
16%
3%
Over 14
2%
Monaco · 37 matchesSC Freiburg · 43 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · MONACO
Monaco · home
+0.7
net per game
For
4.9
Against
4.1
SC Freiburg · away
-0.6
net per game
For
3.9
Against
4.5
Market

Monaco Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.66
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.54
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

SC Freiburg Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
2.06
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
1.95
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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