SBI
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
Getafe
LWLDD
  • Azón 2'
  • Mayoral 74'
FT2 – 5
Lugano
DWWWW
  • Ajeti 3'
  • Cimignani 7'
  • Ajeti 26'
  • Bislimi 50'
  • Behrens 90+2'
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · 17:45 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–5
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.0
Getafe · for
at home, per game
9.9
Total corners · projected
μ 9.91
4.9
Lugano · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price6.00
Fair9.14
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.60
Fair2.54
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair4.32
LOST
12 to 14
Price6.00
Fair5.47
LOST
Over 14
Price15.00
Fair12.16
WON
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 2–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.53
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
2.92
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.89
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.36
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.14
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
GetafeLugano
4.2
Corners for · per game
4.7
4.3
Corners against · per game
4.7
Hit rates · over markets
L2044%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2033%
Over 4.5 corners
L2047%
L2024%
Over 5.5 corners
L2035%
L2035%
Over 9.5 total
L2047%
L2027%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2031%
Match corners W%
L2046%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
5%
33%
6 to 8
49%
26%
9 to 11
22%
18%
12 to 14
15%
8%
Over 14
10%
Getafe · 39 matchesLugano · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.4 · GETAFE
Getafe · home
+0.4
net per game
For
4.2
Against
3.8
Lugano · away
-0.8
net per game
For
4.3
Against
5.0
Market

Getafe Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 2–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Lugano Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 2–5
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.39
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.65
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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