PRIMERA DIVISION
Nacional
LWWDD
- Gómez (pen) 89'
- Gómez 90+2'
- Calvo 90+4'
FT3 – 2
Defensor Sporting
LDLDW
- Montenegro 27'
- Medina 72'
- Unknown 90+5'
- Frugone 90+5'
- Frugone 90+6'
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 20:30
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.6
Nacional · for
this season, per game
11.2
Total corners · past games added together
4.6
Defensor Sporting · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price8.00
LOST6 to 8
Price2.87
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price4.75
LOSTOver 14
Price13.00
WONMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 9
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.18
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:30 on 20 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.44
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
92.002.201.652.18
9.5––1.871.91
102.621.722.111.68
10.5––2.341.55
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:30 on 20 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9)
OverUnder
61.188.00
71.334.50
81.613.25
102.621.72
113.751.44
125.501.25
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:30 on 20 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Nacional -21.95
Tie after the handicap8.00
Defensor Sporting +31.90
bet365as of 20:30 on 20 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Nacional 35 matches; Defensor Sporting 35 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Nacional 113, Defensor Sporting 109)
Nacional corners for 6.60 a game, Defensor Sporting 4.57, together 11.17 against a 9 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Nacional 5.61 and Defensor Sporting 4.06, together 9.67 against a 9 line.
The added-together figure is 2.2 above the 9 line; the blend is 0.7 above it.
Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 9 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Nacional 113 matches, Defensor Sporting 109 matches): over 8.5: Nacional 62%, Defensor Sporting 57%; over 9.5: Nacional 50%, Defensor Sporting 40%.
Corners for at the venues: Nacional at home 7.72 (18 matches), Defensor Sporting away 4.29 (17 matches), together 12.02.
bet365 · line 9 (main line)Over 2.00 · Under 2.20
added together 11.17 is 2.2 above; blend 9.67 is 0.7 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.65 · Under 2.18
added together 11.17 is 2.2 above; blend 9.67 is 0.7 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.87 · Under 1.91
added together 11.17 is 1.7 above; blend 9.67 is 0.2 above
Nacional 50%, Defensor Sporting 40% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.11 · Under 1.68
added together 11.17 is 1.2 above; blend 9.67 is 0.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.34 · Under 1.55
added together 11.17 is 0.7 above; blend 9.67 is 0.8 below
Nacional 35%, Defensor Sporting 34% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:30 on 20 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
NacionalDefensor Sporting
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2083%Over 3.5 cornersL2063%
L2065%Over 4.5 cornersL2047%
L2052%Over 5.5 cornersL2030%
L2050%Over 9.5 totalL2040%
L2035%Over 10.5 totalL2034%
L2079%Match corners W%L2048%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%Under 613%
26%6 to 828%
36%9 to 1133%
21%12 to 1428%
7%Over 140%
Nacional · 42 matchesDefensor Sporting · 40 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+3.6 · NACIONAL
Nacional · home
+3.6
net per game
Defensor Sporting · away
-0.8
net per game
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