PRIMERA DIVISION
Nacional
LWWDD
- Gómez (pen) 89'
- Gómez 90+2'
- Calvo 90+4'
FT3 – 2
Defensor Sporting
LDLDW
- Montenegro 27'
- Medina 72'
- Unknown 90+5'
- Frugone 90+5'
- Frugone 90+6'
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 20:30
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.26
Estimate
1.60
bet365
1.63
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
+12.5%
Drifted
Draw
Lost3.05
Estimate
3.60
bet365
3.79
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.81
Pinnacle
−8.3%
Shortened
Away
Lost4.50
Estimate
5.00
bet365
5.18
Pinnacle
4.10
bet365
5.26
Pinnacle
−18.0%
Shortened
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Nacional
wonBY 1
Price—
Estimate3.92
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate7.76
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate22.39
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate66.72
—Defensor Sporting
lostBY 1
Price—
Estimate6.27
—lostBY 2
Price—
Estimate19.33
—lostBY 3
Price—
Estimate88.02
—lostBY 4+
Price—
Estimate452.54
—Draw
lostScore Draw
Price5.50
Estimate6.24
▼ 11.8%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price9.50
Estimate5.85
▲ 62.5%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.29
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.50
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.80
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won1.51
Estimate
—
bet365
1.26
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.26
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost2.98
Estimate
—
bet365
3.98
Pinnacle
—
bet365
3.98
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 3–2 · HT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost3.35
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.24
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
2.24
Pinnacle
+2.3%
Drifted
Draw
Lost1.89
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.27
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Won5.90
Estimate
5.50
bet365
5.90
Pinnacle
5.50
bet365
5.90
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:56Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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