CARABAO CUP
AFC Bournemouth
LWWWW
- Adli 7'
- Cook 51'
- Rodríguez 69'
FT3 – 0
Aston Villa
DWWWW
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 · Vitality Stadium
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
AFC BournemouthAston Villa
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Hit rates · home v away
L2023%Cards match bet W%L2048%
L2089%Both teams cardedL2074%
L2071%Over 1.5 team cardsL2057%
L2066%Over 3.5 total cardsL2054%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2094%Over 0.5 team cardsL2088%
L2072%Over 1.5 team cardsL2072%
L2050%Over 2.5 team cardsL2044%
L2022%Over 3.5 team cardsL2012%
Team cards by line · overall
L2094%Over 0.5 team cardsL2080%
L2071%Over 1.5 team cardsL2057%
L2054%Over 2.5 team cardsL2033%
L2020%Over 3.5 team cardsL209%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 15 matches
Match average
2.93 YELLOWS / GAME
T. Harrington
15
Apps
44
Yellows
2.93
Yellows / game
3
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.20 avg
Away cards1.93 avg
Both teams6/1540%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref80%+1.512/15 matches
Ref67%+2.510/15 matches
Ref40%+3.56/15 matches
Model
Cards · model prediction
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source59%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source60%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source40%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model55%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.83
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.22
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.45
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 4.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.16
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
AFC Bournemouth 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Aston Villa 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
AFC Bournemouth (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source72%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source71%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source31%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model58%MasterP(over 1.5)
Aston Villa (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source72%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source57%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model54%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.23
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
5.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.75
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.57
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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