SBI
CARABAO CUP
AFC Bournemouth
LWWWW
  • Adli 7'
  • Cook 51'
  • Rodríguez 69'
FT3 – 0
Aston Villa
DWWWW
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 · Vitality Stadium
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
AFC Bournemouth · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.51
5.4
Aston Villa · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair10.71
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair3.70
WON
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.05
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.26
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair13.54
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.24
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.41
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
AFC Bournemouth 0
1.73
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Aston Villa 0
2.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.49
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AFC BournemouthAston Villa
5.7
Corners for · per game
5.4
4.9
Corners against · per game
4.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2063%
Over 3.5 corners
L2076%
L2060%
Over 4.5 corners
L2058%
L2051%
Over 5.5 corners
L2043%
L2059%
Over 9.5 total
L2057%
L2047%
Over 10.5 total
L2043%
L2054%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
6%
Under 6
9%
20%
6 to 8
28%
34%
9 to 11
37%
26%
12 to 14
22%
14%
Over 14
4%
AFC Bournemouth · 35 matchesAston Villa · 46 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · AFC BOURNEMOUTH
AFC Bournemouth · home
+1.8
net per game
For
6.0
Against
4.2
Aston Villa · away
-0.2
net per game
For
4.7
Against
4.9
Market

AFC Bournemouth Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.78
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Aston Villa Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.74
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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