Group · Match 69FIFA World Cup 2026
Algeria
Manager: Vladimir Petković
FT3 – 3
Austria
Manager: Ralf Rangnick
45' R. Belghali60' R. Mahrez90+3' R. Mahrez
28' M. Arnautovic55' M. Sabitzer90+6' S. Kalajdzic
Kansas City Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+11.1%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
1.97
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-16.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.86vs book · Bet3652.20STATS DIFF +18.3%
70
Algeria
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
38
Austria
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Above Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
+24.8%
Above Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
2.17
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
-37.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.21vs book · Pinnacle1.72STATS DIFF +41.9%
90
Algeria
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
75
Austria
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
2.20
Estimate
3.30
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
+63.6%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
-27.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.54vs book · Bet3653.50STATS DIFF +127.5%
80
Algeria
80% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
50
Austria
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.75
Marathonbet
+64.6%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.04
Marathonbet
-19.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.08vs book · Marathonbet6.75STATS DIFF +119.4%
40
Algeria
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
25
Austria
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Algeria
10 games · 1 goalless
23'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Austria
10 games · 0 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Algeria to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.58
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
-0.7%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.76
Estimate
2.26
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
-11.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 133d ago
Market

Austria to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.30
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
+23.0%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
4.50
Estimate
2.65
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
-48.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:45older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 133d ago
Group JView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
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33008-1+79—
2
Austria
31116-604—
3
Algeria
31115-7-24—
4
Jordan
30033-8-50—
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