Group · Match 6FIFA World Cup 2026
Australia
Manager: Tony Popovic
FT2 – 0
Türkiye
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
27' N. Irankunda75' C. Metcalfe
Vancouver Stadium · Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 05:00 · FT · Australia won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-4.4%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
1.93
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-3.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.46vs book · Bet3651.95STATS DIFF -20.7%
31
Australia
31% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
50
Türkiye
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
-4.4%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.34
Pinnacle
3.24
Marathonbet
-4.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.39vs book · Pinnacle1.34STATS DIFF -3.7%
69
Australia
69% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
75
Türkiye
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
6/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
2.09
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-1.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.81
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-3.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.88vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF +11.6%
44
Australia
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
63
Türkiye
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.62
Pinnacle
3.50
Marathonbet
-14.6%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
-1.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle3.62STATS DIFF +81.0%
38
Australia
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
63
Türkiye
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 30, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Australia
10 games · 2 goalless
39'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Türkiye
8 games · 0 goalless
20'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Australia to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.65
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
+4.3%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
2.56
Estimate
2.24
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
-11.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 09:31older price · 147d ago
Market

Türkiye to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.27
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.17
Marathonbet
-4.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
4.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.10
Marathonbet
+8.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 03:00older price · 146d ago
Group DView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
United States
32018-4+46
2
Australia
31112-204
3
Paraguay
31112-4-24
4
Türkiye
31023-5-23
Other Group D matches5
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