Group · Match 20FIFA World Cup 2026
Austria
Manager: Ralf Rangnick
FT3 – 1
Jordan
Manager: Jamal Sellami
21' R. Schmid76' Y. Al-Arab (OG)90+12' M. Arnautovic (P)
50' A. Olwan
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Wednesday, 17 June 2026 · 05:00 · FT · Austria won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.16
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-4.8%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
1.87
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
-3.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.46vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF -18.7%
38
Austria
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
44
Jordan
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
-9.5%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.87
Pinnacle
3.75
Marathonbet
+10.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.23vs book · Pinnacle1.27STATS DIFF +3.2%
75
Austria
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
6/8
88
Jordan
88% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.86
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-15.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+11.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle1.86STATS DIFF -7.0%
50
Austria
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
50
Jordan
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.10
Pinnacle
2.92
Marathonbet
-28.8%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
+6.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Pinnacle3.10STATS DIFF -22.5%
25
Austria
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
2/8
25
Jordan
25% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 30, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Austria
8 games · 0 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Jordan
10 games · 1 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Austria to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.09
Marathonbet
-9.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
5.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.30
Marathonbet
+43.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d ago
Market

Jordan to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.74
Estimate
1.88
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
+14.2%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.36
Estimate
1.94
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
-18.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 16 Jun 23:15older price · 143d agoPinnacleas of 16 Jun 09:31older price · 144d ago
Group JView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Argentina
33008-1+79
2
Austria
31116-604
3
Algeria
31115-7-24
4
Jordan
30033-8-50
Other Group J matches5
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