Group · Match 16FIFA World Cup 2026
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
FT1 – 1
Egypt
Manager: Hossam Hussein
66' M. Hany (OG)
20' E. Ashour
Seattle Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.28
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-18.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.79
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+12.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.86vs book · Bet3651.80STATS DIFF -37.0%
Belgium
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Egypt
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
-6.6%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference3.50
Estimate
3.60
Pinnacle
3.40
Marathonbet
-0.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.27vs book · Pinnacle1.31STATS DIFF +3.2%
Belgium
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
7/8
Egypt
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.98
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-15.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.16vs book · Pinnacle1.98STATS DIFF -8.4%
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Egypt
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
3.37
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
-19.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference1.32
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+0.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.76vs book · Pinnacle3.37STATS DIFF +22.2%
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Egypt
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 22, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Belgium
8 games · 1 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Egypt
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Belgium to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.22
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
-3.4%
Below Est.
No
No Difference5.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.70
Marathonbet
+3.6%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d ago
Market
Egypt to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.87
Estimate
1.72
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
-3.8%
Below Est.
No
No Difference2.16
Estimate
2.13
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
-1.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 19:03older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 09:31older price · 145d ago
Group GView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-2 | +4 | 5 | |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5-3 | +2 | 5 | |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | -6 | 1 |
Other Group G matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.