Group · Match 52FIFA World Cup 2026
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager: Sergej Barbarez
FT3 – 1
Qatar
Manager: Julen Lopetegui Argote
29' K. Alajbegovic34' M. Abunada (OG)80' E. Mahmic
42' H. Al-Haydos
Seattle Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Bosnia and Herzegovina won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-11.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.85
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+5.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.53vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF +24.5%
70
Bosnia and Herzegovina
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
61
Qatar
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
-16.8%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.64
Pinnacle
4.60
Marathonbet
+35.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.22vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF +2.9%
80
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
83
Qatar
83% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-26.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+32.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.50vs book · Pinnacle1.58STATS DIFF +5.3%
50
Bosnia and Herzegovina
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
83
Qatar
83% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.46
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
-40.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
+21.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.50vs book · Pinnacle2.46STATS DIFF -1.6%
30
Bosnia and Herzegovina
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
50
Qatar
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
10 games · 0 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Qatar
10 games · 1 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Bosnia and Herzegovina to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
-10.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
5.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
8.60
Marathonbet
+65.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d ago
Market

Qatar to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.78
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
-3.5%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.30
Estimate
2.21
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathonbet
-1.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:30older price · 136d ago
Group BView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Switzerland
32107-3+47—
2
Canada
31118-3+54—
3
Bosnia and Herzegovina
31115-6-14—
4
Qatar
30122-10-81—
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