Group · Match 29FIFA World Cup 2026
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
FT3 – 0
Haiti
Manager: Sébastien Migné
23' M. Cunha36' M. Cunha45+3' V. Junior
Philadelphia Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 01:30 · FT · Brazil won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-60.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.22
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+36.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.25vs book · Bet3652.20STATS DIFF -2.3%
44
Brazil
44% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.04
Marathonbet
-6.3%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
8.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.30
Marathonbet
-11.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.64vs book · Marathonbet1.04STATS DIFF -36.5%
61
Brazil
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.42
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
-5.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
No Difference
3.45
Estimate
3.46
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
+4.5%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.57vs book · Bet3651.30STATS DIFF -49.4%
39
Brazil
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.02
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
-8.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
2.00
Estimate
2.11
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
+6.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds5.99vs book · Marathonbet1.79STATS DIFF -70.1%
17
Brazil
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Brazil
10 games · 1 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Haiti
10 games · 1 goalless
18'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Brazil to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.00
Marathonbet
-1.0%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
32.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
18.50
Marathonbet
-41.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d ago
Market

Haiti to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
-60.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
+42.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 23:01older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 09:31older price · 141d ago
Group CView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Brazil
32107-1+67
2
Morocco
32106-3+37
3
Scotland
31021-4-33
4
Haiti
30032-8-60
Other Group C matches5
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