Group · Match 7FIFA World Cup 2026
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
FT1 – 1
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
32' V. Junior
21' I. Saibari
New York New Jersey Stadium · Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.42
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-11.0%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
1.71
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.88vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -27.1%
44
Brazil
44% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
2/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference
1.38
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
+1.5%
Below Bar
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.70
Estimate
3.02
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
-17.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.35vs book · Pinnacle1.40STATS DIFF +4.0%
61
Brazil
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
88
Morocco
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
7/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.10
Estimate
2.27
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-2.0%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.92
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-7.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.25vs book · Pinnacle2.27STATS DIFF +0.9%
39
Brazil
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
50
Morocco
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference
3.85
Estimate
3.63
Pinnacle
3.84
Marathonbet
+2.4%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.36
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
-6.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.80vs book · Marathonbet3.84STATS DIFF -19.9%
17
Brazil
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
2/8
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 30, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Brazil
10 games · 1 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Morocco
8 games · 0 goalless
30'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Brazil to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.18
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
+4.4%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
7.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.75
Marathonbet
-30.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Market

Morocco to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.06
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
-12.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.95
Estimate
2.09
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
+9.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 09:30older price · 147d ago
Group CView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Brazil
32107-1+67
2
Morocco
32106-3+37
3
Scotland
31021-4-33
4
Haiti
30032-8-60
Other Group C matches5
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