Group · Match 27FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
FT6 – 0
Qatar
Manager: Julen Lopetegui Argote
16' C. Larin29' J. David45+3' J. David64' N. Saliba75' M. Al-Mannai (OG)90+2' J. David
Vancouver Stadium · Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Canada won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate4.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-54.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.27
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
+21.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.64vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF +28.3%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Qatar
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.74
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
-29.0%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate2.36
Estimate
3.62
Pinnacle
4.05
Marathonbet
+76.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF +5.0%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Qatar
83% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate3.35
Estimate
1.73
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-38.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.44
Estimate
2.19
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+28.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF +66.6%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Qatar
83% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate7.80
Estimate
2.82
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
-65.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.15
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
+26.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.82STATS DIFF +41.0%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Qatar
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Canada
1 games · 0 goalless
21'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Qatar
10 games · 1 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Canada to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.06
Marathonbet
-13.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate5.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.50
Marathonbet
+50.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d ago
Market
Qatar to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate3.90
Estimate
2.11
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathonbet
-48.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.35
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
+34.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 21:46older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 09:31older price · 142d ago
Group BView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8-3 | +5 | 4 | |
| 3 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | -8 | 1 |
Other Group B matches5
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