R32 · Match 87FIFA World Cup 2026

Colombia

Manager: Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo

FT1 – 0

Ghana

Manager: Carlos Brito Leal Queiróz

14' J. Arias

Kansas City Stadium · Saturday, 4 July 2026 · 02:30 · FT · Colombia won after full-time.

Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin

C. Turpin

No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 2.5

Above Estimate

1.59

Estimate

1.94

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

+18.1%

Above Est.

Under 2.5

Below Estimate

2.72

Estimate

1.87

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

-30.7%

Below Est.

ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

bet365as of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 3.5

Above Estimate

2.46

Estimate

2.61

Pinnacle

2.65

Unibet

+11.3%

Above Est.

Under 3.5

Below Estimate

1.70

Estimate

1.47

Pinnacle

1.40

Unibet

-15.2%

Below Est.

Unibetas of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 4.5

Below Estimate

4.40

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

3.30

Unibet

-23.3%

Below Est.

Under 4.5

No Difference

1.30

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.27

Unibet

+0.8%

Below Bar

Unibetas of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d ago

Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Yes

Above Estimate

1.57

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.72

Bet365

+12.4%

Above Est.

Below Estimate

2.78

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

2.00

Bet365

-25.9%

Below Est.

bet365as of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d ago

Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

No active signal or price difference in this market

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Colombia +0

No Difference

1.38

Estimate

2.80

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Ghana +0

No Difference

3.70

Estimate

1.43

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Pinnacleas of 3 Jul 23:15older price · 126d ago

OutcomePriceImplied

Derrick Luckassen

2.87—

Jerome Opoku

3.10—

Gideon Mensah

3.25—

Augustine Boakye

3.25—

Caleb Yirenkyi

3.25—

Abdul Mumin

3.60—

Jefferson Lerma

3.60—

Willer Ditta

3.60—

Elisha Owusu

3.75—

Kwasi Sibo

3.75—

Richard Rios

3.75—

Alidu Seidu

3.75—

Jonas Adjetey

3.75—

Yerry Mina

4.00—

Jhon Lucumi

4.00—

Juan Portilla

4.00—

Gustavo Puerta

4.00—

Abdul Rahman Baba

4.33—

Thomas Partey

4.33—

Antoine Semenyo

4.33—

Marvin Senaya

4.33—

Kamaldeen Sulemana

4.33—

Kojo Oppong

4.33—

Abdul Fatawu

4.33—

Kevin Castano

4.50—

Jordan Ayew

4.75—

Davinson Sanchez

4.75—

Jorge Carrascal

4.75—

Daniel Munoz

4.75—

Prince Adu

4.75—

Andres Gomez

4.75—

Christopher Baah

4.75—

Booked

5.0020%

Santiago Arias

5.50—

Jhon Cordoba

5.50—

Johan Mojica

5.50—

Deiver Machado

5.50—

Jhon Arias

5.50—

Inaki Williams

6.00—

Ernest Nuamah

6.00—

Cucho Hernandez

6.50—

Luis Suarez

6.50—

Brandon Thomas-Asante

7.00—

James Rodriguez

8.00—

Luis Diaz

8.00—

Jaminton Campaz

8.00—

David Ospina

9.00—

Lawrence Ati-Zigi

9.00—

Alvaro Montero

9.00—

Camilo Vargas

9.00—

Joseph Anang

9.00—

Benjamin Asare

9.00—

Juan Quintero

9.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

OutcomePriceImplied

Derrick Luckassen

8.00—

Jerome Opoku

8.50—

Gideon Mensah

9.50—

Augustine Boakye

9.50—

Caleb Yirenkyi

9.50—

Abdul Mumin

10.00—

Jefferson Lerma

11.00—

Elisha Owusu

11.00—

Willer Ditta

11.00—

Kwasi Sibo

11.00—

Richard Rios

11.00—

Alidu Seidu

11.00—

Jonas Adjetey

11.00—

Yerry Mina

12.00—

Jhon Lucumi

12.00—

Juan Portilla

12.00—

Gustavo Puerta

12.00—

Abdul Rahman Baba

13.00—

Thomas Partey

13.00—

Antoine Semenyo

13.00—

Marvin Senaya

13.00—

Kamaldeen Sulemana

13.00—

Kevin Castano

13.00—

Kojo Oppong

13.00—

Abdul Fatawu

13.00—

Jordan Ayew

15.00—

Davinson Sanchez

15.00—

Jorge Carrascal

15.00—

Daniel Munoz

15.00—

Prince Adu

15.00—

Andres Gomez

15.00—

1st Card

15.007%

Christopher Baah

15.00—

Santiago Arias

17.00—

Jhon Cordoba

17.00—

Johan Mojica

17.00—

Deiver Machado

17.00—

Jhon Arias

17.00—

Inaki Williams

19.00—

Ernest Nuamah

19.00—

Brandon Thomas-Asante

21.00—

Cucho Hernandez

21.00—

Luis Suarez

21.00—

James Rodriguez

23.00—

Luis Diaz

23.00—

Jaminton Campaz

23.00—

David Ospina

29.00—

Lawrence Ati-Zigi

29.00—

Alvaro Montero

29.00—

Camilo Vargas

29.00—

Joseph Anang

29.00—

Benjamin Asare

29.00—

Juan Quintero

29.00—

Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only

12'

Jhon Arias

Foul

Colombia

49'

Caleb Yirenkyi

Foul

Ghana

66'

Issahaku Fatawu

Argument

Ghana

76'

Alidu Seidu

Foul

Ghana

78'

Richard Ríos

Foul

Colombia

ColombiaGhana

2.1

Team cards / g

1.2

4.0

Match cards / g

2.5

Hit rates · qualifying campaign

Q61%

Team cards Over 1.5

Q30%

Q33%

Team cards Over 2.5

Q0%

Q56%

Match cards Over 3.5

Q10%

Q78%

Both teams carded

Q50%

Overall

Colombia

61%

Over 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

22%

Over 3.5

56%

Match O3.5

Ghana

30%

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

10%

Match O3.5

Upcoming matchesNext 6

No upcoming fixtures.

All GroupsA–L

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices

Referee profile

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Player to be Booked

1st Player Booked

Cards in this match

Team card averages