Group · Match 71FIFA World Cup 2026
Colombia
Manager: Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo
FT0 – 0
Portugal
Manager: Roberto Martínez Montoliú
Miami Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 00:30 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.97
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-15.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+11.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Bet3651.61STATS DIFF -19.5%
50
Colombia
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
50
Portugal
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
-13.1%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.99
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
+26.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.39vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF -9.0%
61
Colombia
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
83
Portugal
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
7/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-19.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+17.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.71vs book · Bet3651.72STATS DIFF +0.4%
50
Colombia
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
67
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.79
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
-35.6%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
+11.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.12vs book · Pinnacle2.79STATS DIFF +31.8%
28
Colombia
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
67
Portugal
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 23, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Colombia
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Portugal
8 games · 0 goalless
21'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Colombia to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.42
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
-0.7%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
3.45
Estimate
3.09
Pinnacle
3.10
Marathonbet
-7.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 132d ago
Market

Portugal to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.39
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
-14.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
3.60
Estimate
4.49
Pinnacle
5.40
Marathonbet
+54.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 132d ago
Group KView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Colombia
32104-1+37—
2
Portugal
31206-1+55—
3
Congo DR
31114-3+14—
4
Uzbekistan
30032-11-90—
Other Group K matches5
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