Group · Match 72FIFA World Cup 2026
Congo DR
Manager: Sébastien Desabre
FT3 – 1
Uzbekistan
Manager: Fabio Cannavaro
68' Y. Wissa (P)78' F. Mayele90+1' Y. Wissa
10' E. Shomurodov
Atlanta Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 00:30 · FT · Congo DR won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
2.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+7.7%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-14.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.82vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -25.7%
33
Congo DR
33% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
38
Uzbekistan
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference
1.41
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
2.93
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
-18.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.88vs book · Pinnacle1.43STATS DIFF -24.0%
50
Congo DR
50% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
56
Uzbekistan
56% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
2.20
Estimate
2.30
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+2.8%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-7.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Pinnacle2.30STATS DIFF -23.3%
17
Congo DR
17% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
50
Uzbekistan
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.58
Pinnacle
3.98
Marathonbet
-2.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
-7.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.69vs book · Marathonbet3.98STATS DIFF +7.9%
17
Congo DR
17% overall · qualifying campaign
12 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
38
Uzbekistan
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 32, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Congo DR
10 games · 0 goalless
30'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Uzbekistan
10 games · 2 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Congo DR to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.53
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
-20.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
2.92
Estimate
4.10
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
+51.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 133d ago
Market

Uzbekistan to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
+35.2%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.06
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
-51.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:30older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 133d ago
Group KView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Colombia
32104-1+37—
2
Portugal
31206-1+55—
3
Congo DR
31114-3+14—
4
Uzbekistan
30032-11-90—
Other Group K matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
All GroupsA–L
ABCDEFGHIJKL
Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices