Group · Match 55FIFA World Cup 2026
Curacao
Manager: Dick Advocaat
FT0 – 2
Côte d'Ivoire
Manager: Emerse Fae
7' N. Pépé64' N. Pépé
Philadelphia Stadium · Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Côte d'Ivoire won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.76
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-16.0%
Below Est.
No
No Difference1.58
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
+2.6%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds—vs book · Bet3652.25STATS DIFF —
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Côte d'Ivoire
0% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.25
Pinnacle
1.10
Marathonbet
-19.7%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.67
Pinnacle
5.30
Marathonbet
+55.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.50vs book · Pinnacle1.25STATS DIFF -50.0%
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Côte d'Ivoire
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
-32.7%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
2.77
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
+53.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Bet3651.44STATS DIFF -56.8%
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Côte d'Ivoire
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
2.16
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
-48.0%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
+34.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds5.00vs book · Pinnacle2.16STATS DIFF -56.8%
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Côte d'Ivoire
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 21, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Curacao
10 games · 3 goalless
15'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Côte d'Ivoire
10 games · 2 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Curacao to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference2.36
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.28
Marathonbet
-0.9%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate1.74
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
-3.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:30older price · 134d ago
Market
Côte d'Ivoire to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.17
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.03
Marathonbet
-9.6%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate7.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
12.75
Marathonbet
+82.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 20:00older price · 134d ago
Group EView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10-4 | +6 | 6 | — |
| 2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-2 | +2 | 6 | — |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | -8 | 1 | — |
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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