Group · Match 25FIFA World Cup 2026
Czech Republic
Manager: Miroslav Koubek
FT1 – 1
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
6' M. Sadílek
83' T. Mokoena (P)
Atlanta Stadium · Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-17.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
+7.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.22vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF -10.0%
50
Czech Republic
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
40
South Africa
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
-1.5%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.15
Pinnacle
2.90
Marathonbet
-14.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.11vs book · Pinnacle1.38STATS DIFF +24.2%
90
Czech Republic
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
8/9
90
South Africa
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
2.19
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-1.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-3.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.82vs book · Pinnacle2.19STATS DIFF +20.4%
70
Czech Republic
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
6/9
40
South Africa
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.66
Marathonbet
-10.7%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
-4.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Marathonbet3.66STATS DIFF +9.8%
50
Czech Republic
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
3/9
10
South Africa
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Czech Republic
9 games · 1 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
South Africa
10 games · 1 goalless
23'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Czech Republic to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.19
Estimate
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
+3.4%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
6.40
Estimate
4.35
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
-33.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 09:30older price · 142d ago
Market

South Africa to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.10
Estimate
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
-22.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.92
Estimate
2.38
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
+18.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 16:16older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 09:30older price · 142d ago
Group AView group
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33006-0+69
2
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31112-3-14
3
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31022-3-13
4
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30122-6-41
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