Group · Match 34FIFA World Cup 2026
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
FT0 – 0
Curacao
Manager: Dick Advocaat
Kansas City Stadium · Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 01:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate6.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
-54.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.21
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
+23.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.99vs book · Bet3652.62STATS DIFF -56.2%
Ecuador
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.28
Estimate
1.27
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
-8.1%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference4.70
Estimate
3.52
Pinnacle
4.60
Marathonbet
-0.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.50vs book · Pinnacle1.27STATS DIFF -71.8%
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.82
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-10.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate2.24
Estimate
2.36
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+8.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.50vs book · Pinnacle1.60STATS DIFF -64.5%
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate3.05
Estimate
2.55
Pinnacle
2.43
Marathonbet
-17.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.49
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
+9.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds17.86vs book · Pinnacle2.55STATS DIFF -85.7%
Ecuador
6% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Ecuador
10 games · 5 goalless
41'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Curacao
10 games · 2 goalless
21'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Ecuador to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.08
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.04
Marathonbet
-1.0%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate15.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
11.25
Marathonbet
-22.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d ago
Market
Curacao to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate5.60
Estimate
2.81
Pinnacle
2.50
Marathonbet
-53.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.23
Estimate
1.44
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
+28.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 23:45older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 09:31older price · 139d ago
Group EView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10-4 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-2 | +2 | 6 | |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | -8 | 1 |
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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