Group · Match 63FIFA World Cup 2026
Egypt
Manager: Hossam Hussein
FT1 – 1
Iran
Manager: Amir Ghalenoei
5' M. Saber
14' R. Rezaeian
Seattle Stadium · Saturday, 27 June 2026 · 04:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
2.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+13.4%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-17.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.48vs book · Bet3652.20STATS DIFF -36.8%
20
Egypt
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
38
Iran
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Above Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
+19.0%
Above Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
-35.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.51vs book · Pinnacle1.65STATS DIFF +9.3%
70
Egypt
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
63
Iran
63% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
2.20
Estimate
3.05
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
+40.2%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-21.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.32vs book · Pinnacle3.05STATS DIFF +31.6%
30
Egypt
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
56
Iran
56% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.75
Marathonbet
+40.2%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.11
Marathonbet
-14.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Marathonbet5.75STATS DIFF +72.5%
10
Egypt
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
50
Iran
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Egypt
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Iran
10 games · 2 goalless
30'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Egypt to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.51
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
-0.7%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.98
Estimate
3.03
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
-6.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 09:31older price · 134d ago
Market

Iran to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.33
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
+31.8%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.37
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
-46.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 22:45older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 09:31older price · 134d ago
Group GView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Belgium
31206-2+45—
2
Egypt
31205-3+25—
3
Iran
30303-303—
4
New Zealand
30124-10-61—
Other Group G matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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