Group · Match 45FIFA World Cup 2026
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
FT0 – 0
Ghana
Manager: Carlos Brito Leal Queiróz
Boston Stadium · Tuesday, 23 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-58.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.21
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
+29.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds6.67vs book · Bet3652.37STATS DIFF -64.5%
0
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
1/9
30
Ghana
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.23
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathonbet
-5.9%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.00
Marathonbet
-7.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.36vs book · Marathonbet1.12STATS DIFF -17.4%
88
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
8/9
60
Ghana
60% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.66
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-2.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.54
Estimate
2.53
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-4.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.29vs book · Bet3651.57STATS DIFF -31.3%
38
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
50
Ghana
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.62
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Marathonbet
-8.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.62
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
+2.5%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.64vs book · Marathonbet2.35STATS DIFF -35.4%
25
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
3/9
30
Ghana
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 33, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
England
9 games · 0 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Ghana
10 games · 0 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

England to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.06
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.03
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
Below Estimate
19.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
12.00
Marathonbet
-35.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d ago
Market

Ghana to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
-58.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.63
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
+38.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 20:16older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 09:31older price · 137d ago
Group LView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
England
32106-2+47
2
Croatia
32015-506
3
Ghana
31112-204
4
Panama
30030-4-40
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