Group · Match 33FIFA World Cup 2026
Germany
Manager: Julian Nagelsmann
FT2 – 1
Côte d'Ivoire
Manager: Emerse Fae
68' D. Undav90+4' D. Undav
30' F. Kessié
Toronto Stadium · Saturday, 20 June 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Germany won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
3.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
-47.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.43
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
+47.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds11.98vs book · Bet3651.70STATS DIFF -85.8%
17
Germany
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
2/7
0
Côte d'Ivoire
0% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
0/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.36
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.13
Marathonbet
-14.4%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.85
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.70
Marathonbet
+25.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.62vs book · Marathonbet1.13STATS DIFF -30.3%
83
Germany
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
6/7
40
Côte d'Ivoire
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.06
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-21.1%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.96
Estimate
2.41
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+24.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.50vs book · Pinnacle1.61STATS DIFF -35.6%
50
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
4/7
30
Côte d'Ivoire
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
3.75
Estimate
2.51
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
-31.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.38
Estimate
1.56
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
+17.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.86vs book · Pinnacle2.51STATS DIFF -12.2%
50
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
4/7
20
Côte d'Ivoire
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Germany
7 games · 0 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Côte d'Ivoire
10 games · 2 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Germany to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.13
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
-2.7%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
9.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
8.60
Marathonbet
-4.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d ago
Market

Côte d'Ivoire to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.98
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
-45.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.51
Estimate
2.62
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
+63.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 20 Jun 20:31older price · 139d agoPinnacleas of 20 Jun 09:31older price · 139d ago
Group EView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Germany
320110-4+66
2
Côte d'Ivoire
32014-2+26
3
Ecuador
31112-204
4
Curacao
30121-9-81
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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