Group · Match 10FIFA World Cup 2026
Germany
Manager: Julian Nagelsmann
FT7 – 1
Curacao
Manager: Dick Advocaat
6' F. Nmecha38' N. Schlotterbeck45+5' K. Havertz (P)47' J. Musiala68' N. Brown78' D. Undav88' K. Havertz
21' L. Comenencia
Houston Stadium · Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Germany won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate5.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
-46.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.22
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
+15.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 17:16older price · 145d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.99vs book · Bet3653.00STATS DIFF -49.9%
Germany
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
1/6
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference1.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference9.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book—STATS DIFF —
Germany
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
5/6
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.36
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
-9.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate3.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.50
Bet365
+21.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Bet3651.20STATS DIFF -40.0%
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
3/6
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate1.88
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
-20.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate2.14
Estimate
2.68
Pinnacle
2.58
Marathonbet
+24.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 17:16older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 17:16older price · 145d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Marathonbet1.46STATS DIFF -27.0%
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
3/6
Curacao: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 25, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Germany
6 games · 0 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Curacao
10 games · 2 goalless
23'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Germany to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.03
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
No
No Difference38.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Curacao to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate5.60
Estimate
2.79
Pinnacle
3.52
Marathonbet
-34.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.23
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+9.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 17:16older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 09:30older price · 146d ago
Group EView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10-4 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-2 | +2 | 6 | |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | -8 | 1 |
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.