Group · Match 21FIFA World Cup 2026
Ghana
Manager: Carlos Brito Leal Queiróz
FT1 – 0
Panama
Manager: Thomas Christiansen Tarín
90+5' C. Yirenkyi
Toronto Stadium · Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Ghana won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.46
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-18.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.69
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+9.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Bet3651.95STATS DIFF -41.5%
Ghana
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference1.41
Estimate
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
+2.9%
Below Bar
Under 1.5
Below Estimate3.50
Estimate
2.89
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
-21.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.67vs book · Pinnacle1.44STATS DIFF -13.6%
Ghana
60% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate2.20
Estimate
2.42
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+10.7%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-12.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.42STATS DIFF +21.0%
Ghana
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
+4.9%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.17
Marathonbet
-9.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Marathonbet4.30STATS DIFF +29.0%
Ghana
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 35, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Ghana
10 games · 0 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Panama
10 games · 1 goalless
36'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Ghana to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.06
Estimate
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
-34.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.95
Estimate
3.32
Pinnacle
3.14
Marathonbet
+66.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 09:31older price · 143d ago
Market
Panama to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.19
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
+25.9%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate6.40
Estimate
2.69
Pinnacle
2.52
Marathonbet
-59.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 23:31older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 09:31older price · 143d ago
Group LView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-2 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | -4 | 0 |
Other Group L matches5
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