Group · Match 5FIFA World Cup 2026
Haiti
Manager: Sébastien Migné
FT0 – 1
Scotland
Manager: Steve Clarke
28' J. McGinn
Boston Stadium · Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Scotland won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-20.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.59
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+29.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.50vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF +40.1%
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
4/6
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.27
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
-13.9%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.95
Pinnacle
4.45
Marathonbet
+30.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book · Pinnacle1.27STATS DIFF +5.8%
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Scotland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
5/6
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-11.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
2.32
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.50vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF +26.7%
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
4/6
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
2.63
Pinnacle
2.52
Marathonbet
-38.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
+14.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.63STATS DIFF +31.5%
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Scotland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
3/6
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 20, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Haiti
10 games · 1 goalless
17'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Scotland
6 games · 1 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Haiti to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.32
Estimate
1.61
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
-31.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.77
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
+42.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d agoPinnacleas of 13 Jun 09:31older price · 146d ago
Market
Scotland to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.17
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.10
Marathonbet
-3.5%
Below Est.
No
No Difference7.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.00
Marathonbet
+2.9%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 13 Jun 22:45older price · 146d ago
Group CView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-1 | +6 | 7 | |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-3 | +3 | 7 | |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-8 | -6 | 0 |
Other Group C matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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