Group · Match 44FIFA World Cup 2026
Jordan
Manager: Jamal Sellami
FT1 – 2
Algeria
Manager: Vladimir Petković
36' N. Al-Rashdan
69' N. Benbouali82' A. Gouiri
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Tuesday, 23 June 2026 · 04:00 · FT · Algeria won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.99
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+3.6%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
2.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
-10.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.76vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF +13.8%
44
Jordan
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
70
Algeria
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
-7.3%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference
3.50
Estimate
3.59
Pinnacle
3.50
Marathonbet
+2.9%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.13vs book · Pinnacle1.31STATS DIFF +16.3%
88
Jordan
88% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
90
Algeria
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.97
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-11.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.93
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.54vs book · Pinnacle1.97STATS DIFF +28.1%
50
Jordan
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
80
Algeria
80% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.37
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
-19.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.32
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+0.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.08vs book · Pinnacle3.37STATS DIFF +9.5%
25
Jordan
25% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
40
Algeria
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Jordan
10 games · 1 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Algeria
10 games · 1 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Jordan to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.49
Estimate
1.73
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
+22.1%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
3.10
Estimate
2.13
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
-31.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 09:31older price · 137d ago
Market

Algeria to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.34
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathonbet
-13.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
4.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.15
Marathonbet
+57.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 22 Jun 23:31older price · 137d ago
Group JView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Argentina
33008-1+79
2
Austria
31116-604
3
Algeria
31115-7-24
4
Jordan
30033-8-50
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