Group · Match 70FIFA World Cup 2026
Jordan
Manager: Jamal Sellami
FT1 – 3
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
55' M. Tamari
19' G. Celso31' L. Martínez (P)80' L. Messi
Dallas Stadium · Sunday, 28 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate5.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
-53.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.22
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
+22.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.79vs book · Bet3652.62STATS DIFF -6.2%
Jordan
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference1.16
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
Below Estimate7.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.75
Marathonbet
-35.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.35vs book · Marathonbet1.12STATS DIFF -16.8%
Jordan
88% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.46
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
+7.7%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.20
Estimate
2.56
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
-19.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.25vs book · Bet3651.53STATS DIFF -32.0%
Jordan
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate2.14
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.28
Marathonbet
+10.7%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.90
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
-11.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds5.54vs book · Pinnacle2.33STATS DIFF -57.9%
Jordan
25% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 31, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Jordan
10 games · 1 goalless
30'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
32'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Jordan to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate5.60
Estimate
2.42
Pinnacle
2.58
Marathonbet
-52.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.23
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
+21.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d agoPinnacleas of 27 Jun 09:31older price · 133d ago
Market
Argentina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.01
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
Below Estimate28.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
11.00
Marathonbet
-60.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 27 Jun 23:15older price · 132d ago
Group JView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8-1 | +7 | 9 | — |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | -2 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-8 | -5 | 0 | — |
Other Group J matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.