Group · Match 2FIFA World Cup 2026
Korea Republic
Manager: Myung-Bo Hong
FT2 – 1
Czech Republic
Manager: Miroslav Koubek
67' I. Hwang80' H. Oh
59' L. Krejci
Guadalajara Stadium · Friday, 12 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Korea Republic won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.98
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+1.6%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate2.04
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-9.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.13vs book · Bet3651.95STATS DIFF -8.5%
Korea Republic
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Czech Republic
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference1.41
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
+1.5%
Below Bar
Under 1.5
Below Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.14
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
-16.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.13vs book · Marathonbet1.39STATS DIFF +23.4%
Korea Republic
88% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Czech Republic
90% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
7/8
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate2.20
Estimate
2.27
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
+7.5%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-10.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.67vs book · Bet3652.30STATS DIFF +38.0%
Korea Republic
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Czech Republic
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.94
Marathonbet
-3.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
-5.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.29vs book · Marathonbet3.94STATS DIFF +72.4%
Korea Republic
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Czech Republic
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Korea Republic
10 games · 1 goalless
28'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Czech Republic
8 games · 1 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Korea Republic to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.37
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
+2.3%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate3.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.15
Marathonbet
-14.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
Market
Czech Republic to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.7% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.45
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
+0.7%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate3.25
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
-8.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 01:00older price · 148d ago
Group AView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | -4 | 1 |
Other Group A matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.