Group · Match 50FIFA World Cup 2026
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
FT4 – 2
Haiti
Manager: Sébastien Migné
39' A. Hakimi45+1' I. Saibari78' S. Rahimi89' G. Yassine
10' Y. Bounou (OG)43' W. Isidor
Atlanta Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Morocco won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
3.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-28.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.43
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
+10.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Bet3652.37STATS DIFF -40.8%
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
-15.3%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
3.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
+26.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.14vs book · Marathonbet1.16STATS DIFF +1.5%
88
Morocco
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
-28.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
2.44
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
+39.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle1.57STATS DIFF -21.5%
50
Morocco
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
2.44
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
-36.8%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.32
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
+17.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Marathonbet2.59STATS DIFF -35.3%
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Haiti: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 23, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Morocco
10 games · 0 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Haiti
10 games · 1 goalless
20'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Morocco to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.15
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.05
Marathonbet
-5.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
8.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
10.25
Marathonbet
+28.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Market

Haiti to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.94
Estimate
2.23
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
-24.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.52
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
+14.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:31older price · 136d ago