Group · Match 64FIFA World Cup 2026
New Zealand
Manager: Darren Bazeley
FT1 – 5
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
84' E. Just
28' L. Trossard50' L. Trossard66' K. Bruyne86' R. Lukaku90+4' A. Saelemaekers
Vancouver Stadium · Saturday, 27 June 2026 · 04:00 · FT · Belgium won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate4.00
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-53.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.34
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+50.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.86vs book · Bet3651.80STATS DIFF -37.0%
New Zealand
20% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
3/7
Belgium
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.02
Marathonbet
-25.5%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate3.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
8.50
Marathonbet
+150.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.07vs book · Marathonbet1.02STATS DIFF -4.4%
New Zealand
100% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
7/7
Belgium
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
-40.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
3.40
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
+109.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.23vs book · Pinnacle1.31STATS DIFF +6.4%
New Zealand
100% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
7/7
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
-59.8%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.28
Marathonbet
+76.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.63vs book · Marathonbet1.65STATS DIFF +1.1%
New Zealand
60% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
5/7
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 19, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
New Zealand
7 games · 0 goalless
18'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Belgium
10 games · 2 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
New Zealand to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate3.55
Estimate
1.98
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
-51.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.40
Estimate
1.77
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
+63.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d agoPinnacleas of 26 Jun 09:32older price · 134d ago
Market
Belgium to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.13
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.01
Marathonbet
-8.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate8.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
17.00
Marathonbet
+97.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 26 Jun 23:00older price · 133d ago
Group GView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-2 | +4 | 5 | — |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5-3 | +2 | 5 | — |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | -6 | 1 | — |
Other Group G matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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