Group · Match 40FIFA World Cup 2026
New Zealand
Manager: Darren Bazeley
FT1 – 3
Egypt
Manager: Hossam Hussein
15' F. Surman
58' M. Abdelraouf67' M. Salah82' M. Trezeguet
Vancouver Stadium · Monday, 22 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Egypt won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
2.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
+0.5%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
1.92
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
-9.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.00vs book · Bet3652.05STATS DIFF -59.0%
20
New Zealand
20% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
2/6
20
Egypt
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
-3.6%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
3.36
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
-6.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.18vs book · Pinnacle1.34STATS DIFF +13.9%
100
New Zealand
100% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
6/6
70
Egypt
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
2.09
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-6.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
No Difference
1.84
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+0.6%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.54vs book · Pinnacle2.09STATS DIFF +35.9%
100
New Zealand
100% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
6/6
30
Egypt
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.66
Pinnacle
3.44
Marathonbet
-16.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.32
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
-0.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.86vs book · Pinnacle3.66STATS DIFF +28.1%
60
New Zealand
60% overall · qualifying campaign
5 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 6
4/6
10
Egypt
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
0/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 22, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
New Zealand
6 games · 0 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Egypt
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

New Zealand to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.67
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
+8.6%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.52
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
-16.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 09:31older price · 138d ago
Market

Egypt to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.27
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.16
Marathonbet
-5.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
4.90
Estimate
4.08
Pinnacle
5.30
Marathonbet
+10.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 21 Jun 23:45older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 21 Jun 09:31older price · 138d ago
Group GView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Belgium
31206-2+45
2
Egypt
31205-3+25
3
Iran
30303-303
4
New Zealand
30124-10-61
Other Group G matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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