Group · Match 46FIFA World Cup 2026
Panama
Manager: Thomas Christiansen Tarín
FT0 – 1
Croatia
Manager: Zlatko Dalić
54' A. Budimir
Toronto Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Croatia won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-18.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+13.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.67vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF -28.7%
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Croatia
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.27
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
-12.4%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.95
Pinnacle
4.20
Marathonbet
+23.5%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.33vs book · Pinnacle1.27STATS DIFF -4.7%
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Croatia
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
7/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.74
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-22.4%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+22.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.33vs book · Pinnacle1.74STATS DIFF +30.5%
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Croatia
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
7/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
2.81
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
-33.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
+10.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.60vs book · Pinnacle2.81STATS DIFF +75.6%
Panama: no qualifying campaign data
Croatia
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
6/9
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 32, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Panama
10 games · 1 goalless
39'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Croatia
9 games · 1 goalless
25'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Panama to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.00
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
-11.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.02
Estimate
2.23
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
+9.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 23 Jun 09:31older price · 137d ago
Market
Croatia to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.09
Marathonbet
-6.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
7.30
Marathonbet
+21.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 23 Jun 23:15older price · 136d ago
Group LView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-2 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | -4 | 0 |
Other Group L matches5
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