Group · Match 13FIFA World Cup 2026
Saudi Arabia
Manager: Giorgios Donis
FT1 – 1
Uruguay
Manager: Marcelo Bielsa Caldera
41' A. Al-Amri
80' M. Araújo
Miami Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-62.5%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+41.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.27vs book · Bet3652.25STATS DIFF -31.3%
33
Saudi Arabia
33% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
28
Uruguay
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.40
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
-1.5%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.55
Estimate
3.24
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
-11.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.56vs book · Pinnacle1.36STATS DIFF -13.1%
67
Saudi Arabia
67% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
61
Uruguay
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
2.20
Estimate
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-0.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.85
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-4.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Pinnacle2.12STATS DIFF -29.4%
33
Saudi Arabia
33% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
33
Uruguay
33% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.10
Estimate
3.61
Pinnacle
3.75
Marathonbet
-6.3%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.33
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
-3.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds7.19vs book · Marathonbet3.75STATS DIFF -47.9%
11
Saudi Arabia
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
17
Uruguay
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 35, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Saudi Arabia
10 games · 4 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Uruguay
10 games · 3 goalless
45'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Saudi Arabia to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
5.60
Estimate
2.03
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
-62.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
+49.6%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 09:31older price · 145d ago
Market

Uruguay to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
+5.6%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
10.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.75
Marathonbet
-41.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 15 Jun 22:30older price · 144d ago
Group HView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Spain
32105-0+57
2
Cape Verde Islands
30302-203
3
Uruguay
30213-4-12
4
Saudi Arabia
30211-5-42
Other Group H matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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