Group · Match 49FIFA World Cup 2026
Scotland
Manager: Steve Clarke
FT0 – 3
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
7' V. Junior45+3' V. Junior60' M. Cunha
Miami Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Brazil won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.86
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-14.7%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
1.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
+2.0%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.80vs book · Bet3652.37STATS DIFF +31.7%
67
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
44
Brazil
44% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.4% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.37
Estimate
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
-6.8%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference
3.80
Estimate
3.90
Pinnacle
3.75
Marathonbet
+1.4%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.39vs book · Pinnacle1.27STATS DIFF -8.3%
83
Scotland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
61
Brazil
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.08
Estimate
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-10.9%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.94
Estimate
2.07
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+5.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.89vs book · Pinnacle1.85STATS DIFF -2.3%
67
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
39
Brazil
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
3.80
Estimate
3.09
Pinnacle
2.95
Marathonbet
-19.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.37
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
+2.3%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Pinnacle3.09STATS DIFF +3.1%
50
Scotland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
17
Brazil
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Scotland
8 games · 1 goalless
23'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Brazil
10 games · 1 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Scotland to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.52
Estimate
2.13
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
-13.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.67
Estimate
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
+6.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:31older price · 136d ago
Market

Brazil to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.08
Marathonbet
-2.7%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
8.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
8.00
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 22:45older price · 135d ago
Group CView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Brazil
32107-1+67—
2
Morocco
32106-3+37—
3
Scotland
31021-4-33—
4
Haiti
30032-8-60—
Other Group C matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
All GroupsA–L
ABCDEFGHIJKL
Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices