Group · Match 30FIFA World Cup 2026
Scotland
Manager: Steve Clarke
FT0 – 1
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
2' I. Saibari
Boston Stadium · Friday, 19 June 2026 · 23:00 · FT · Morocco won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.99
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+8.8%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.02
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-15.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.18vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -3.7%
67
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
4/7
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
3/9
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference
1.41
Estimate
1.42
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
+1.5%
Below Bar
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
2.93
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
-16.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.17vs book · Pinnacle1.42STATS DIFF +21.3%
83
Scotland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
5/7
88
Morocco
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
8/9
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
2.20
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+2.8%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-7.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.71vs book · Pinnacle2.33STATS DIFF +36.0%
67
Scotland
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
4/7
50
Morocco
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference
4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
+4.9%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
-7.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.67vs book · Marathonbet4.30STATS DIFF +61.3%
50
Scotland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
3/7
25
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
2/9
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 28, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Scotland
7 games · 1 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Morocco
9 games · 0 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Scotland to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.49
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
+26.2%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
3.10
Estimate
2.06
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
-33.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 09:31older price · 141d ago
Market

Morocco to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.34
Estimate
1.21
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
-9.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
4.00
Estimate
4.44
Pinnacle
4.85
Marathonbet
+24.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 21:31older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 09:31older price · 141d ago
Group CView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Brazil
32107-1+67
2
Morocco
32106-3+37
3
Scotland
31021-4-33
4
Haiti
30032-8-60
Other Group C matches5
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